Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.157265 0.184058 0.213527 0.248276 0.288058 0.332104 0.384488
2025-11-09 0.109645 0.144892 0.187955 0.244099 0.314985 0.401098 0.513171
2025-11-16 0.083504 0.121003 0.170574 0.240167 0.334484 0.456868 0.626510
2025-11-23 0.064827 0.101657 0.153711 0.231458 0.343161 0.496091 0.719096
2025-11-30 0.057476 0.096255 0.154176 0.245172 0.382216 0.578045 0.875278
2025-12-07 0.046979 0.083930 0.142176 0.238261 0.389633 0.614879 0.969870
2025-12-14 0.038650 0.073411 0.131058 0.230575 0.394006 0.646373 1.057925
2025-12-21 0.032427 0.065263 0.122368 0.225209 0.400682 0.680976 1.152458
2025-12-28 0.028805 0.061082 0.119661 0.229193 0.422495 0.740552 1.290174
2026-01-04 0.026313 0.058566 0.119446 0.237258 0.451636 0.813923 1.455300
2026-01-11 0.023772 0.055492 0.117714 0.242207 0.475536 0.880086 1.613003
2026-01-18 0.021264 0.052038 0.114734 0.244336 0.494311 0.938584 1.761521
2026-01-25 0.018712 0.048109 0.110406 0.243593 0.508153 0.990364 1.903910
2026-02-01 0.016213 0.043854 0.104826 0.239710 0.515693 1.031584 2.031093
2026-02-08 0.014084 0.040048 0.099622 0.235861 0.522713 1.072090 2.159546
2026-02-15 0.011930 0.035739 0.092643 0.227295 0.519215 1.092250 2.251396
2026-02-22 0.011492 0.035785 0.095617 0.240787 0.562282 1.204752 2.524854
2026-03-01 0.009888 0.032363 0.089890 0.233987 0.561831 1.231906 2.636062
2026-03-08 0.008469 0.029150 0.084170 0.226427 0.558841 1.253491 2.737472
2026-03-15 0.007355 0.026580 0.079664 0.221148 0.560254 1.283911 2.858201
2026-03-22 0.006774 0.025522 0.078955 0.225067 0.582818 1.359783 3.075839
2026-03-29 0.006405 0.025068 0.079807 0.233001 0.615358 1.458924 3.347449
2026-04-05 0.005951 0.024235 0.079488 0.237870 0.641058 1.545043 3.597014